An icicle tree of shot sequences rooted at the serve — branch width is the rallies that took it, tint is the win rate down it, and everything under the sample cut is pruned with its share stated.
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D. Ferreira · 6 club-league matches · 486 points on serve
486 rallies · 294 won (60%) · 22 branches drawn to shot 4
1st serve in
292 rallies · 60% of 486 · 209 won (72%)
38%Short return
30%Deep return
16%Return missed
5%below the 15-rally cut
11%the point ended here
lostwonends herebelow the cut
Best of the 13 branches that run three shots or deeper: 1st serve in → Short return → Forehand approach — 28 of 34 won, 82%. Branches under 15 rallies are left undrawn: 15 of them, cut away at 15 points and taking 147 of 486 rallies (30%) out of the drawing with them. They are still counted in the shot above — the tree hides them, the totals don't. Distances are court length: a serve crosses half a tennis court plus the middle of the service box, every rally ball after it the full 23.77 m.
Rally patterns behind the serve: D. Ferreira, 6 club-league matches · 486 points on serve. A rally pattern tree: shot 1 is the serve at the top, each row below it is the next shot, and a branch is as wide as the rallies that took it. 486 rallies in all, 294 won, 60%. 22 branches clear the 15-rally cut, over 4 shots. 339 rallies ended inside the drawn tree and 147 left it at 15 points where the tree is cut, 30% of them, leaving 15 branches undrawn. Best win rate at three shots or deeper: 1st serve in, then Short return, then Forehand approach, 28 of 34 won, 82%. Every branch follows in the data table.
Every branch that clears the 15-rally cut, shot by shot, with the rallies that took it, the rallies it won, the rallies that ended on it and the rallies that carried on below the cut.
Shot
Sequence
Rallies
Won
Win rate
Ended here
Below the cut
1 · serve
1st serve in
292
209
72%
31 (31 won)
13 at 1 cut point
1 · serve
2nd serve
194
85
44%
14 (4 won)
0 at 0 cut points
2 · return
1st serve in then Short return
112
87
78%
0 (0 won)
9 at 1 cut point
2 · return
1st serve in then Deep return
88
36
41%
8 (0 won)
12 at 1 cut point
2 · return
1st serve in then Return missed
48
48
100%
48 (48 won)
0 at 0 cut points
2 · return
2nd serve then Deep return
76
25
33%
9 (0 won)
10 at 1 cut point
2 · return
2nd serve then Attacked return
54
17
31%
13 (0 won)
0 at 0 cut points
2 · return
2nd serve then Return missed
28
28
100%
28 (28 won)
0 at 0 cut points
2 · return
2nd serve then Chipped return
22
11
50%
7 (0 won)
0 at 0 cut points
3 · serve +1
1st serve in then Short return then Forehand inside-out
48
38
79%
20 (18 won)
11 at 1 cut point
3 · serve +1
1st serve in then Short return then Forehand approach
34
28
82%
18 (16 won)
0 at 0 cut points
3 · serve +1
1st serve in then Short return then Backhand down the line
21
13
62%
12 (8 won)
9 at 1 cut point
3 · serve +1
1st serve in then Deep return then Backhand cross-court
41
16
39%
10 (4 won)
9 at 1 cut point
3 · serve +1
1st serve in then Deep return then Forehand inside-out
27
15
56%
15 (9 won)
12 at 1 cut point
3 · serve +1
2nd serve then Deep return then Backhand cross-court
36
12
33%
22 (7 won)
14 at 1 cut point
3 · serve +1
2nd serve then Deep return then Forehand inside-in
21
10
48%
13 (7 won)
8 at 1 cut point
3 · serve +1
2nd serve then Attacked return then Defensive slice
26
10
38%
16 (6 won)
10 at 1 cut point
3 · serve +1
2nd serve then Attacked return then Backhand block
15
7
47%
15 (7 won)
0 at 0 cut points
3 · serve +1
2nd serve then Chipped return then Forehand inside-out
15
11
73%
15 (11 won)
0 at 0 cut points
4 · return +1
1st serve in then Short return then Forehand inside-out then Defensive slice
17
12
71%
8 (5 won)
9 at 1 cut point
4 · return +1
1st serve in then Short return then Forehand approach then Backhand pass attempt
16
12
75%
9 (6 won)
7 at 1 cut point
4 · return +1
1st serve in then Deep return then Backhand cross-court then Backhand cross-court
22
8
36%
8 (3 won)
14 at 2 cut points
empty
Rally patterns behind the serve
D. Ferreira · 6 club-league matches · 486 points on serve
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The tree grows from the serve down: one row per shot, each branch as wide as the rallies that took it.
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Rally patterns behind the serve
D. Ferreira · 6 club-league matches · 486 points on serve
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Rally patterns behind the serve
D. Ferreira · 6 club-league matches · 486 points on serve
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ready · same feed at a 40-rally cut
Rally patterns behind the serve
D. Ferreira · 6 club-league matches · 486 points on serve
486 rallies · 294 won (60%) · 9 branches drawn to shot 3
1st serve in
292 rallies · 60% of 486 · 209 won (72%)
38%Short return
30%Deep return
16%Return missed
5%below the 40-rally cut
11%the point ended here
lostwonends herebelow the cut
Best of the 2 branches that run three shots or deeper: 1st serve in → Short return → Forehand inside-out — 38 of 48 won, 79%. Branches under 40 rallies are left undrawn: 28 of them, cut away at 17 points and taking 333 of 486 rallies (69%) out of the drawing with them. They are still counted in the shot above — the tree hides them, the totals don't. Distances are court length: a serve crosses half a tennis court plus the middle of the service box, every rally ball after it the full 23.77 m.
Rally patterns behind the serve: D. Ferreira, 6 club-league matches · 486 points on serve. A rally pattern tree: shot 1 is the serve at the top, each row below it is the next shot, and a branch is as wide as the rallies that took it. 486 rallies in all, 294 won, 60%. 9 branches clear the 40-rally cut, over 3 shots. 153 rallies ended inside the drawn tree and 333 left it at 17 points where the tree is cut, 69% of them, leaving 28 branches undrawn. Best win rate at three shots or deeper: 1st serve in, then Short return, then Forehand inside-out, 38 of 48 won, 79%. Every branch follows in the data table.
Every branch that clears the 40-rally cut, shot by shot, with the rallies that took it, the rallies it won, the rallies that ended on it and the rallies that carried on below the cut.
Shot
Sequence
Rallies
Won
Win rate
Ended here
Below the cut
1 · serve
1st serve in
292
209
72%
31 (31 won)
13 at 1 cut point
1 · serve
2nd serve
194
85
44%
14 (4 won)
50 at 2 cut points
2 · return
1st serve in then Short return
112
87
78%
0 (0 won)
64 at 3 cut points
2 · return
1st serve in then Deep return
88
36
41%
8 (0 won)
39 at 2 cut points
2 · return
1st serve in then Return missed
48
48
100%
48 (48 won)
0 at 0 cut points
2 · return
2nd serve then Deep return
76
25
33%
9 (0 won)
67 at 3 cut points
2 · return
2nd serve then Attacked return
54
17
31%
13 (0 won)
41 at 2 cut points
3 · serve +1
1st serve in then Short return then Forehand inside-out
48
38
79%
20 (18 won)
28 at 2 cut points
3 · serve +1
1st serve in then Deep return then Backhand cross-court
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